Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2024)

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Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2)

5/25 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Just about a breakeven day for us here yesterday, as we maintain our flat bet profit for the meet.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 2 - #6 Stanley Rough

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (3)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -My First Love2nd -Trade Secret3rd -Diva Banker

#2 MY FIRST LOVE hasn't done much to get the pulse racing in her two starts since being claimed for a quarter, but was ambitiously spotted in both of those heats, and gets an upgrade in the irons for today's drop to her lowest level yet. Horse for the course could perk up. #7 TRADE SECRET has earned six checks from her last seven outings, and drops a peg after a showing and a voided claim. Gal has done okay when last to load, but it would behoove you to take a gander during the warmups. #1 DIVA BANKER may grind out a share. NOTE: AS OF 11:14, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #3 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 21st -Alpha Sonny2nd -Stanley Rough3rd -Irie Man

#1 ALPHA SONNY all the way. BEATABLE FAVORITE/2ND CHOICE: #6 STANLEY ROUGH finished directly behind the above when debuting in that April 28th affair, but had a bit of trouble at the onset, before running a quite greenly. Eligible to improve with Ortiz taking the reins. #4 IRIE MAN as good as any for the show dough.

Race 31st -Bob John Ray2nd -Jackson Heights3rd -Bad Larry

#6 BOB JOHN RAY showed precipitous improvement when getting a cleaner trip & eye cups for the first time three fortnights back, and while a regression is always possible after a big step forward with an equipment change, the pedigree tells us the result was likely not a fluke. Mild selection in a race with no first draft eliminations. #7 JACKSON HEIGHTS is a bit of a nibbler by nature, as this gelding has closed out the exacta in his last four starts over a glib surface. One of those came in a third off the layoff attempt, and we can't fall to anyone taking a favorable view here. #2 BAD LARRY digs the local seagulls, and they will likely have to grab him by the tail to get the glory.

Race 41st -Naughty Destiny2nd -Capital Spending3rd -Heavenly Girl

#6 NAUGHTY DESTINY hasn't been seen since the fall, but barn knows how to have them ready for comebackers, and the adjusted figaro from her debut in October puts her in the upper echelon here. Gray gal also gets the wonder drug for the first time, and is a mild choice in a very difficult race to decipher. #2 CAPITAL SPENDING had to jam on the brakes a couple of times when getting her working papers on the 25th of April, but lost by just a length and a half that afternoon, and Flavor Flav, who's been lighting it up here, is called on. #6 HEAVENLY GIRL returned off a lengthy sabbatical to finish in the back half of the pack when taking a decent amount of money last time out, but could move forward in today's second off the shelf engagement. OFF TURF: 8-9-3-4-14(AE)

Race 51st -Firsttimeinforever2nd -Mim3rd -Lakeside Getaway

#2 FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER has really turned the corner over her last sextet, having partaken in the triple and each and every start. Gal was uncharacteristically tardy to the party in the most recent, but still ended up finishing second beneath today's helmsman. We're seeing this miss as a single for all those ready to mingle. #1 MIM bested half the field at nearly 100-1 after opening up a daylight lead in her first turf route on firm ground. Should be able to do a little bit better with a slightly easier pace. #8 LAKESIDE GETAWAY has been MIA since Turkey Time, but is an obvious factor if able to get back to those last three stars from 2023. OFF TURF: 2-6-16(AE)-5-15(AE)

Race 61st -Hours in a Day2nd -Apuro3rd -Shakin the Belle

#3 HOURS IN A DAY popped and stopped in the lidlifter down in Hallandale Beach last month, but $150,000 auction purchase can be all yours for just a double sawbuck today. Irad hops on, and the 408 Tomlinson tells us to give this one another chance. #10 APURO has been perfectly kept in jail since the claim on 4/21, and although this notorious money burner did it again that day, we think he has a chance to write the ship versus these. #7 SHAKIN THE BELLE outran his odds quite nicely when placing in the a near identical spot 34 days in the rear, and goes from an apprentice to a journeyman here.

Race 71st -White Palomino2nd -Risk Tolerance3rd -Legend of Time ( GB )

#1 WHITE PALOMINO had a troubled trip in the bow, but ended up having a perfect journey in the followup down in Lexington, when procuring the sheepskin out a 7/2 offering. A graded stakes event is never an easy spot to face winners in for the first time, but we think there may be a little bit of value here given the powerful connections. #3 RISK TOLERANCE grinded it out the maiden win in solid fashion right here 5 weeks ago, and the top flight pedigree says the sky could be the limit with this one. #2 LEGEND OF TIME (GB) was extremely disappointing in his American debut, but found the line first the only time he was in the second off the layoff jammie, and discount this outfit at your own peril. OFF TURF: 1-4-2-7-3

Race 81st -Stella Mars2nd -Smokie Eyes3rd -Determined Lilly

#3 STELLA MARS put forth a solid effort when getting a big time trainer upgrade out of the Chatterpaul barn last time out, and this 6 year old got up in time in her only second off the bench attempt when going long on the lawn. Blinkers are once again part of the makeup, which just may have this one a bit closer to the pace. #2 SMOKIE EYES has done her best work in Ozone Park, and after stumblin' and a bumblin' in her comebacker, rates a shot to make amends. #5 DETERMINED LILLY has been in absentia since early November, but got her Polaroid taken at 12-1 in her only layoff attempt on the gramma. OFF TURF: 1-2-6-9-5

Race 91st -Disappearance2nd -Cheeky Tico3rd -Candy Tycoon

#2 DISAPPEARANCE may not appear to have shown much when finishing last at 62-1 three weeks back, but bay boy did in fact outrun his turf bloodlines by a good margin that day. That being said, if you want to prorate said to his best number on the sand, what you come up with is something that puts him in the top tier versus these. Note the bullet work for runner who does his best coming from off the pace. #8 CHEEKY TICO has been in the money in five of his last six, seven of his last nine, and all his wins have come at the Big A. #5 CANDY TYCOON ( who ran against Tiz the Law way back when ) has never seen these depths and can land a slice. NOTE: AS OF 11:18, DUE TO A KEY LATE SCRATCH, OUR AMENDED SELECTIONS WILL BE 6-8-5.

Race 101st -Power Attack2nd -Big Prankster3rd -Allied Attack

#4 POWER ATTACK shoots for the three bagger today, and we see it as being well within reach, as this fella has shown some diversity with his three wins being under three different sets of circ*mstances. The race goes through him. #5 BIG BRANKSTER immolated a bit of baccala when encountering some trouble in the comebacker, but Rosario hops on now, and he guided this one to two game runnerup finishes last fall. #2 ALLIED ATTACK has eye cups slapped on for the first time this afternoon, but may have outran his turf pedigree last out, so we will keep beneath. OFF TURF: 3-1-2-1A-8

Race 111st -Jhirsch2nd -Frozen Four3rd -Your Mission

#5 JHIRSCH comes in today off a showing behind a next out Victor down in Oldsmar, and despite not having disgraced himself the only time he went over firm ground, this pricey homebred now has the white flag run up in being up for grabs. Logical, but by no means a cinch. #11 FROZEN FOUR has been off for several months, but gets an "Around the World" treatment for today's return -- taking the biggest drop in the game, while losing his procreating abilities, and being in receipt of the miracle drug for the first time. #3 YOUR MISSION has always been a bit of a fragile sort, but has done decently off a layoff, and Castellano sees fit to ride. OFF TURF: 7-2-1-9-4

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 33-119 ( $239.60 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-3 ( 66.7% ) Favorite's Win %: 47-119 ( 40% )( As of Saturday morning )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ) 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4129-20204 ($34,313.40) +/-: -15.1% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 459-1706( 27% )Favorite's Win %: 7608-20307( 37.8% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4160-20772 ( $35,132.60 )Beatable Favorites : 469-1752( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7751-20894( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.5% against a 16.7% takeout

5/26 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Decent day for us here yesterday with a pair of winners ( $17 & $5 ), a traditional Late Daily Double of $34, and a Beatable Favorite, as we maintain our flat bet profit for the meet.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (4)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -Book of Wisdom2nd -Shehana3rd -Neigh Jude

#1 BOOK OF WISDOM immolated a bit of baccala when taking the biggest drop in the game last time out, but you can feel free to upgrade that third place finish by approximately 14.2%, as this miss has proven to be that much better on a fast track than one with moisture in it. Her lone 3rd off the bench engagement yielded a third place finisher behind a next out winner, and gal gets the pine for the first time. #8 SHEHANA who bested one last time out in going over the verde for the first time, but now takes the biggest plunge known, and draws ideally. Will take some pounding at the windows, but we are not entirely sold given the low Tommy for today's distance of ground. #3 NEIGH JUDE has been beset by back to back L/O lines, but is another sliding down, and gets an upgrade in the irons to Javy. NOTE: AS OF 11:19, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #4 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 21st -He'smyhoneybadger2nd -Gun It3rd -Synthesis

#5 HE'SMYHONEYBADGER has always been a popular item at the claim box, as this chestnut chap has had to leave a forwarding address in 6 of 8 races when in for a tag. There's a good reason for that, as he's partaken in the exacta in more than half of his 26 starts, and enters today off a career best effort, while owning a sweet declining market today is distance of ground. Race goes directly through him. #4 GUN IT ( uncoupled barnmate with the above ) hasn't been seen since Turkey Time, but this notorious nibbler has hit the board in five of six starts off the bench, and lures one of the best riders in the country. #1 SYNTHESIS is quite the old war horse isn't he? 8 yr. old makes his 60th start today, while getting a big upgrade in the saddle as well. May last for a share. NOTE: AS OF 11:23, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #3 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 31st -Kuramada ( Ire )2nd -High Tide3rd -Sagamore Mischief

#1 KURAMADA (IRE) is a lightly raced seven year old who has been a steady check earner throughout his career, but over that time he has also burned quite a bit of bread, as this fellow has lost as the favorite in nine of his last ten starts. The good news though, is that he was a lively runner up in his sole third off the bench jammie outside of stakes company, & draws snugly for the first time. #6 HIGH TIDE showed zilch down in Lexington, but went into that race off a lifetime best number, so perhaps you can write it off as a bounce. 13:6-2-1 ledger @ today's distance of ground positively leaps off the page, as does this pilot's 3 for 7 Mark when astride. #2B SAGAMORE MISCHIEF didn't show much in the lone turf attempt, but has honest enough breeding for the stuff, and we always like to give a runner two chances over a particular surface before dismissing. OFF TURF: 3-5-2-4-2B NOTE: AS OF 11:27, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #3 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 41st -Blake B2nd -Gentleman Joe3rd -Grandpa's Kid

#7 BLAKE B must be getting quite dizzy moving from barn to barn, as this boy has been purchased in five of his last six heats. Fella is a very consistent sort, and jumps way up in class after the purchase a couple of weeks ago; we like his ability to send or rate a bit. Mild choice in a race with no first draft eliminations. #5 GENTLEMAN JOE has won three of his last six affairs, and drops a dime off the recent score. Makes all kinds of sense. #6 GRANDPA'S KID cuts back from two turns to one, and has hit the board and seven of his nine tries at this dx..

Race 51st -Kerry2nd -Ever So Sweet ( Ire )3rd -A New Peace

#3 KERRY came up a bit short after grabbing the lead at the top of the stretch when returning from a 4 month sabbatical, but could move forward with that under her girthstrap. Note the switch from Davis to Ortiz. Slight edge. #2 EVER SO SWEET (IRE) has been away since early November, but gets the wonder drug for the first time while being reunited with Flavor Flav, who guided this one to a solid second place finish in the debut. #10 A NEW PEACE has fared quite well when getting back on the turf, and could spice things up a touch. OFF TURF:1-10-11(MTO)-7-4

Race 61st -Agility2nd -Screaming Uncle3rd -Magnificent Ride

#3 AGILITY got the job done at the level just below this last month, and showed some decent mettle when accomplishing it after getting smacked around at the onset and dueling late. A threat to go all the way once again. #9 SCREAMING UNCLE was visually impressive when beating conditional platers on the 4th of April, and ended up in a new barn afterwards for all his efforts. Despite being moved up a bit, the Beyer garnered in that win is solid enough to merit inclusion, and recognize that this fella completed the exacta directly in front of a next out victor in his only start when loading last. #8 MAGNIFICENT RIDE gets a trainer upgrade for today's local debut, and is as good as any for the show bread. NOTE: AS OF 11:31, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #4 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Race 71st -El rezeen2nd -Swordofhonor ( Ire )3rd -Stop the Press

#9 EL REZEEN has given decent accounts of himself in both turf deals thus far, and one of them came from an outsideish slot just like today. Timid selection in a race that's difficult to decipher. #5 SWORDOFHONOR (IRE) ( uncoupled entrymate with the above ) has hung up a couple of decent adjusted figaro's in just as many outings, and recognize that the last race turned out to be a key one, as five returnees went 5:2-2-1 in their four sui generis followup engagements. #7 STOP THE PRESS could be rolling along for a piece. OFF TURF: 4-7-1-2-11(MTO)

Race 81st -Shadow Dragon2nd -Colloquy3rd -Mason Mania

#8 SHADOW DRAGON has been MIA since early December, but has a win and two placings off a sabbatical, and has done okay at this trip and over the strip. We see that Junior is one of two one aboard this fella, & will make him a slight choice in a wide open deal. #3 COLLOQUY has had to have his mail sent to him after his last three starts, but they were all goodies, and gets some improvements in the irons now. Can't fault those taking a favorable view. #1 MASON MANIA is in decent form these days, and is now protected against the claim after the April 26th purchase. YO has some solid results when going into the starting apparatus first.

Race 91st -Art Of Courage2nd -Courtly Banker3rd -Launch Control

#12 ART OF COURAGE appears to be the clear speed of this deal, and although a bounce is always possible after a solid effort following an 11 month layoff, will give this one a chance to do the killer crossover at the onset. #2 COURTLY BANKER cuts back after setting most of the fractions in the turf bow, and as he gave a nice account of himself when sprinting down in Hallandale Beach at the end of march, we'll say today's distance shouldn't be much of an issue. #1 LAUNCH CONTROL hasn't been seen since Hector was a pup, but the work tab says go, and the two turf efforts on display weren't half bad. OFF TURF: 2-3-9-12-5

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 35-130 ( $261.60 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-4 ( 50% ) Favorite's Win %: 51-130 ( 40% )( As of Sunday morning )

Aqueduct Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% ) Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7665-20444( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4188-20908 ( $35,411.40 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7808-21030( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.7% takeout

5/27 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections - Happy Memorial Day - God Bless our Fallen Heroes

Happy Memorial Day, and God Bless our Fallen Heroes.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 9 - #5 Barnstorming

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (5)Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

Race 11st -Authentic Kingdom2nd -War Tax3rd -My Mitole

As we had no first draft eliminations in today's opener, we utilized DRF Formulator to dig up some trainer stats, and what we found was that four of the five trainers in this race are a cumulative 1 for 71 with maiden special weight first time starters on the dirt not receiving Lasix. The loan exception was John Servis, of the #4 AUTHENTIC KINGDOM. He's won 7of his last 16 starts with runners of that ilk at 9/2 or less, and there is a positive ROI in that department. January foal has maturity edge over a few others signed on, and although the pedigree is unproven, we see that three of the upstairs members of the family tree scored at first asking, with the other two having placed. Looking good. Both the #2 WAR TAX and the #5 MY MITOLE have been working extremely well in company over the last pair, and could be any kind for Carlito.

Race 21st -Curlin's Girl2nd -Vive Veuve3rd -Sy B

#5 CURLIN'S GIRL - who's yet to finish out of the money - has improved with each passing turf start, which includes facing stakes company for the first time in her most recent, & get some upgrade in the training department this afternoon. Mild choice in a feature with but one first draft tossout. #4 VIVE VEUVE shoots for the hat trick today, and as you can put an upwards arrow alongside the North American speed figures, we'd say it's well within reach in today's third start off the pine. #4 SY B picked up the diploma in nice fashion down in Lexington back in early April, and the pedigree tells us this will likely be her preferred surface down the road. OFF TURF: 2-5-4-3-1

Race 31st -Going Concern ( GB )2nd -Be Like Clint3rd -Royal Spirit

#4 GOING CONCERN (GB) didn't show a whole heck of a lot when facing winners here for the first time last month, but gelding got smacked around a bit at the onset, and then had to check off heels. Blinkers are now affixed for the first time in hopes of keeping this one out of trouble early on, and although we think 3-1 is a bit low, we'll give him a shot to make amends. #7 BE LIKE CLINT comes in today off a career best turf figaro, and could be rolling late with any pace to cut into. Recognize that the lone returnee from that affair ( who finished directly in front of him ) returned victorious. #1 ROYAL SPIRIT has been in the money in five of six affairs at the Big A, and lost by less than a length at 9-1 in his lone pairing with today's pilot. OFF TURF: 5-2-7-10-2

Race 41st -Sandy's Garden2nd -Queens Masterpiece3rd -Temperamental

#3 SANDY'S GARDEN hasn't been in action since late January, but the ol' gray mare owns a win and a runnerup finish from three starts off of a break in the action, and has won half of her eight outings at today's distance of ground. Pre layoff pilot returns, which is something we always like to see, and barn is a crisp three of five when being handed a dirt runner, and returning them off a break of 51 to 156 ( $5, and $16 ). We like her ability to send or rate a bit, and will lean her way. #5 QUEENS MASTERPIECE is one of two of second off the shelf engagements, and has nice familiarity with the course. #7 TEMPERMENTAL is 3 of 17 beneath the seagulls, which stands out favorably against her 1 for 15 mark otherwise. In a bit of an anomaly, she starts from the outside for the first time in her 21 dirt attempts.

Race 51st -Daddy Knows2nd -Heir Port3rd -Colonel Vargo

Despite being out of jail by one day after the April 26th claim, #6 DADDY KNOWS is hiked up 25% while retaining the jockey from the solid placing that afternoon. 8 year old has done some nice work in Ozone Park, and according to Formulator, shedrow is 6: 4-1-0-1 with first off the claim mid level males on the sand, who hit the board 23 to 41 days in the rear. The winners returned $4, $10, $5, and $19, and it looks like they'll have to grab this one by the tail to get the glory. #2 HEIR PORT has always been a fairly consistent critter, and is supported by a 7 for 13 trainer statistic which has Rudy Rod clicking at that rate with the exact same categories listed above ( AQU ) off breaks of 40 days or less ( 9-1 or lower ). #5 COLONEL VARGO has been a win machine throughout his 20 race career, having gotten the job done in 50% of his outings thus far. In addition to that, he is a near perfect six for seven in this borough, and goes from an apprentice to a journeyman this afternoon after a troubled trip.

Race 61st -American Kestrel2nd -Sassy Allie3rd - Izzy Sweet Girl (Ire)

#10 AMERICAN KESTREL by no means disgraced herself when debuting down in Hallandale Beach back in mid April. After getting roughed up a bit at the beginning, she grabbed the lead, opened it up at the quarter mile pole, and then understandably faded a bit in the lane @ 32 to 1. Gal has worked quite well since that day, and young Katie has had some nice success for Tagg. Solid price on a runner with a solid chance. #9 SASSY ALLIE gets her working papers today, and although the pedigree is still unproven, we like that she went for 17 times the stud fee at auction last year. Demand bit of value however. #4 IZZY SWEET GIRL (IRE) rounds out the top three. OFF TURF: 4-9-6-14(AE)

Race 71st -Clear Conscience2nd -Gem Mint Ten3rd -Willintoriskitall

#10 CLEAR CONSCIENCE has had three good sized layoffs throughout his six race career, but picked up the lions share after one of them, and that happened to come at this locale. Trainer hasn't started a lot of runners this year, but we see that she has a three for five mark with male sod entrants off sabbaticals of 74 days or more, at 36 to 1 or less. The winners paid $9, $10, and $13, and in a heat with no initial tosses, we'll take the double digit odds. #12 GEM MINT TEN returned off a half a calendar break to lose by just a honker in this race on April 28th, and while a bounces always possible off the career best number, we'd be remiss in excluding. #3 WILLINTORISKITALL has been in absentia for a while, but as always partaken in the superfecta on the grammar, and should be in the thick of things once again if fully cranked up. OFF TURF: 15(MTO)-1-5-16(MTO)-6

Race 81st -Cool Operator2nd -Mama's Dream3rd -Storm Quest

#3 COOL OPERATOR was claimed off a maiden breaking effort right here on the 12th of April, and the speed figure earned that day tells us that he definitely fits here. Colt presumably goes over a glib service or the first time today, and from a tidy but tight trainer stat aspect, this barn is three for four with freshly purchased dirt runners who procured the sheepskin 40 to 50 days ago at 16 to 1 or under. The payoffs were $18, $9, and $8, & rates a mild selection in a tight heat. #2 MAMA'S DREAM is another one entering off his first win, and we see no reason to exclude. #7 STORM QUEST comes in today off of back to back lifetime best numbers, & found the line first the only time he went into the gate last. Uncoupled entrymate with our top selection just may sit the perfect trip.

Race 91st -Timaeus2nd -Chalky Cat3rd -Endowed

#7 TIMAEUS returned off of nearly a year layoff to essentially go all the way down in Gulfstream about a month ago, and as this $275,000 purchase went unclaimed that day, they will choose an easy spot for the followup today. From a Formulator aspect, TP wipes the competition clean with mid level dirt equines who got their primary score 25 to 75 days back, as he's a perfect 3 for 3 with that sort, and the winners paid $13, $9, and $3. #9 CHALKY CAT has been in the money over his last quartet, gets a little bit of a trainer improvement off the recent placing directly in front of a next out victor. #2 ENDOWED closes out this portion of the Aqueduct meet, as we move up to Saratoga for 4 days for the Belmont festival. See you there !!

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 35-130 ( $261.60 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-4 ( 50% ) Favorite's Win %: 51-130 ( 40% )( As of Sunday morning )

Aqueduct Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% ) Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7665-20444( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4188-20908 ( $35,411.40 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7808-21030( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.7% takeout

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (6)

As a character on Esquire's reality show "Horseplayers" and throughout the National Handicappers Tour where ranked third nationally in 2013, Kevin is known as a "numbers cruncher". He combines his own interpretation of standard Beyer speed figures, with a desire for seeking hidden form and generous odds in his selections. From April 29th, 2016 to March 31st, 2017 over a span of 1,920 consecutive races Kevin amazingly showed a flat bet profit!Kevin's daily analysis has shown a positive ROI for seventeen meets!

Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2024)
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